Football
Newcastle vs Bournemouth FA Cup Preview: Odds, Tips & Predictions
Date: Saturday, January 10 Venue: St James’ Park Kick-off: 3pm GMT Newcastle will be embarking on a fresh pursuit for more domestic silverware when they take on Bournemouth in the FA Cup third round on Saturday, January 10. Eddie Howe’s men ended their long wait for a trophy when they lifted the Carabao Cup last season. Although they have won the FA Cup on six occasions, the Magpies have suffered plenty of heartache in the final in years gone by, and they lost to Arsenal and Manchester United in back-to-back finals in 1998 and 1999. At SportsBoom, we’re on top of the biggest competitions, and we’ve located odds at the best football betting online sites to inspire your picks.
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Bruno Guimaraes /Getty Images
In contrast, Bournemouth have slipped this season, and they have never won England’s grandest domestic competition. Meetings in the FA Cup have been relatively slim between Newcastle and Bournemouth, but Bournemouth won on penalties in the previous contest on Tyneside in January 1992
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Newcastle Strong Favourites
To make a firm and insightful Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction, we’ve revealed the matchwinner odds available at one of the finest UK betting sites.
Home: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
Draw: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
Away: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
*Odds courtesy of BetUK, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record
The tale of the tape is quite short between Newcastle and Bournemouth, but we’ve shared the results from the past three meetings between the two sides in the FA Cup.
Last Three Meetings (FA Cup)
- 22/01/92: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth
- 04/01/92: Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle
- 30/01/73: Newcastle 2-0 Bournemouth
Newcastle Current Form: LDLWW
Newcastle are on an upward trajectory, and back-to-back wins over Burnley and Crystal Palace in the Premier League has restored some of the feel-good factor on Tyneside.
Eddie Howe’s men, as mentioned, have suffered disappointment in the FA Cup final before, but they are six-time winners, so they have plenty of pedigree.
Although the fixtures have been piling up over the past few weeks, the Magpies can launch a serious assault on the cup competitions, and the defending League Cup champions are in the semi-finals.
Key Players to Watch
- Bruno Guimaraes
A midfield dynamo, Bruno Guimaraes has a knack for popping up in the right place in the penalty area and finishing off sweeping moves. A big-game player, he’s scored in his last two league appearances, and he will be eager to open his FA Cup account. - Jacob Murphy
Jacob Murphy has flourished this term, giving Newcastle dynamism in attack, and while he’s been short on goals, his contribution to the cause shouldn’t be understated. - Nick Woltemade
A towering force in the air, Nick Woltemade holds the ball up and links up play well too. The striker has scored 11 goals in all competitions, and he’s one for Bournemouth to play close attention to.
Newcastle Team News
After being hamstrung by several defensive issues, Newcastle’s treatment table appears to be easing up. Kieran Trippier is back, as is Sven Botman, giving the backline more robustness.
Bournemouth Current Form: DDLDL
Bournemouth haven’t hit the highs of last year, and while their league position (15th) would suggest reason for concern as well as their winless streak, the FA Cup could help them take their mind off things.
Against Arsenal, they came close to pulling off a spectacular result when they went ahead inside 10 minutes, but the Gunners hit back, and the Cherries slumped to a 3-2 defeat.
Andoni Iraola’s men are great entertainers, but they will be hoping to produce a more polished performance against Newcastle.
Key Players to Watch
- Eli Kroupi
With Antoine Semenyo expected to wrap up a January move to Manchester City imminently, Eli Kroupier will need to step up. He took his goal well against Arsenal, and he’s an exciting prospect at the age of 19. Kroupi has struck six times in the league this term, so he offers value. - Justin Kluivert
Son of Dutch legend Patrick Kluivert, Justin oozes class, and he popped up with a goal against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last month. He could be key to Bournemouth’s chances of advancing to the fourth round. - Evanilson
A wily player, Evanilson has bags of skill, and he’s become increasingly reliable for the Cherries. Two goals in his past five appearances in the league is nothing to scoff at.
Bournemouth Team News
Bournemouth still have a few long-term absentees, including Ryan Christie, so he’s unlikely to be ready, but Lewis Cook, who missed the defeat to Arsenal, could come into contention.
Predicted Line-Ups
Newcastle (4-3-3)
Pope; Miley, Thiaw, Schar, Hall, Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton, Murphy, Wissa, Woltemade
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Petrovic; Truffert, Senesi, Hill, Jimenez, Scott, Tavernier, Kroupi, Kluivert, Brooks, Evanilson
Suggested Bets
We’ve unearthed some suggested football betting tips based on the markets posted at some of the trusted sportsbooks. These are worth locking in.
Over 2.5 Goals: If recent meetings at St James’ Park are anything to go by, we could see a flurry of goals. The last two league goals produced a total of nine goals, so we could be in for an entertaining game. (63/100 with Jeffbet)
Both Teams to Score: Bar the league meeting earlier this season, the last time there was a goalless draw between these two sides came in an FA Cup tie over 30 years ago, but that was on the South Coast. The BTTS line is appealing. (4/7 with Spreadex)
Second Half Highest Scoring Half: In recent meetings, there have been a lot of goals scored in the second half, and the FA Cup has a habit of producing late drama. This line is worth investigating. (1/1 with Bet442)
Value Bets
Anytime Goalscorer – Bruno Guimaraes: The midfielder is an impact player, and he’s been lethal at times in front of goal. He could well find the target at the weekend against the Cherries. (23/10 with Leovegas)
Total Goalkeeper Saves Over 6.5: The last clash at St James’ Park saw a combined 15 shots on target, so the goalkeepers could be in for a busy afternoon. Over 6.5 saves is therefore an inviting proposition. (21/20 with BetMGM)
Newcastle to Win to Nil: With key defensive players returning to action, Newcastle could come out on top, produce a more robust performance, and keep a clean sheet. (2/1 with Betfred)
Prediction: Newcastle to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
Newcastle have found their fluency once again, and visiting St James’ Park is never easy. Although Bournemouth are an exciting watch, they have been let down by their league results, and perhaps the FA Cup has come at a good time for them. While there isn’t much to go on in terms of past FA Cup clashes, Newcastle’s pedigree in this competition should see them win through to the fourth round, and that could be combined with a match total of Over 2.5 goals.
Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.