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Newcastle United vs Sunderland Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Sunday, March 22 Venue: St James’ Park Stadium Kick-off: Midday GMT Newcastle United and Sunderland will lock horns in what promises to be a feisty clash at St James’ Park on Sunday, March 22. Tyne-Wear derbies can be hostile, but they can also conjure up special moments. Therefore, many punters turn to some of the most trusted betting platforms for inspiration when it comes to compiling picks.

published: 20-03-2026

Last updated: 19-03-2026

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

7 minread

SportsBoom offers honest and impartial UK bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.

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Nick Woltemade looks on after scoring an own goal during the Premier League match between Sunderland and Newcastle United at Stadium

Nick Woltemade looks on after scoring an own goal//Getty Images

It’s fair to assert that Newcastle have been struggling for consistency. However, there have been some memorable Premier League highlights over the past fortnight, including a 2-1 home win over Manchester United and a 1-0 victory away to Chelsea.

Sunderland, who had an exceptional start to the season, have slipped to 13th, but they are in no immediate danger of going down as they are 11 points clear of the drop zone.

Having beaten the Magpies by a solitary goal earlier in the campaign, can the Black Cats complete a league double over their opponents? Our Newcastle United vs Sunderland preview features betting strategies and stats to mull over.

Pre-Game Odds & Win Probability

Newcastle United favourites

Premier League operators offer up the matchwinner market, and this is a great starting point. Check out the latest odds available at one of our preferred sportsbooks ahead of Newcastle United vs Sunderland:

  1. Home: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

  2. Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%

  3. Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

    *Odds courtesy of PricedUp, subject to change.

Head-To-Head Record

Premier League head-to-head records serve a purpose. Before Newcastle United vs Sunderland, we’ve lifted the lid on how the most recent encounters have unfolded.

  1. 14/12/25: Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle United

  2. 20/03/16: Newcastle United 1-1 Sunderland

  3. 25/10/15: Sunderland 3-0 Newcastle United

  4. 05/04/15: Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle United

  5. 21/12/14: Newcastle United 0-1 Sunderland

Newcastle United Current Form – WLLWW

While at first glance, Newcastle’s form may seem a bit mixed, they have had a tough run of games.

In the past few weeks, the Magpies have faced United, Manchester City, and Chelsea, but they picked up six points from a possible nine from those fixtures which should be commended.

Against Chelsea, Newcastle only managed one corner and registered seven shots, but they were swift on the counter, and Anthony Gordon slid home the winner.

Eddie Howe’s charges are menacing in transition, but they need to be switched on from corners to thwart Sunderland.

Key Players To Watch

  • Anthony Gordon: He’s more than just Newcastle’s chief penalty taker. Gordon has threatened this season, and he’s weighed in with five goals and two assists.
  • Jacob Murphy: Jacob Murphy has bags of pace, and he’s always looking to get to the byline and whip in crosses. With three goals and one assist, Murphy will look to improve that tally against Sunderland.
  • Harvey Barnes: An ever-present feature of the starting XI, Harvey Barnes always gets into good positions in the penalty area, and although he’s only netted five times, Sunderland need to cut out the supply to him.

Newcastle United Team News

Newcastle still have a fairly extensive injury list, and that includes Bruno Guimaraes, who is struggling with a hamstring problem.

Sunderland Current Form – LLDWL

After a smash-and-grab win away to Leeds earlier this month, it has been a slightly testing time for Sunderland.

A shock FA Cup fifth-round defeat to Port Vale, Sunderland slipped up at the Stadium of Light against Brighton, which was surprising given their formidable home record.

Regis Le Bris’s men may have been fuming about the nature of the goal they conceded against the Seagulls, as they were on top for significant chunks of the game.

Driven by the motivation of a derby, Sunderland will need to press Newcastle from the off and keep their shape when they don’t have the ball.

Key Players To Watch

  • Granit Xhaka: Functioning as the captain, Granit Xhaka leads by example. While he’s tough tackling, Xhaka is blessed with amazing vision, and he’s contributed five assists this term, so he could have a key role to play.
  • Brian Brobbey: Powerful and agile, Brian Brobbey has burst into life in the second half of the season, and he will be eager to add to his return of five goals.
  • Dan Ballard: A reliable defender, Dan Ballard throws himself on the line for Sunderland, and apart from winning plenty of duels, his pass completion rate of 82% isn’t too shabby either.

Sunderland Team News

Sunderland are also beset by injury problems, and that includes Nordi Mukiele, but he’s inching closer to a return to action.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Newcastle United (4-2-3-1): Ramsdale; Livramento, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Willock, Ramsey, Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes; Gordon

  2. Sunderland (4-1-4-1): Ellborg; Geertruida, Ballard, Alderete, Hume, Xhaka, Rigg, Diarra, Sadiki, Talbi; Brobbey

Suggested Bets

Premier League betting sites are always dishing up a variety of odds, and the ones we have selected inspired our matchday predictions for Newcastle United vs Sunderland.

  1. Both Teams to Score (No): It’s rare in recent seasons to see the BTTS market fulfilled, as this has only happened once in the past five league encounters, so the no segment of the line appeals. (19/20 with Dragon Bet)

  2. Newcastle United to Win Either Half: In two of the past three matches in all competitions, Newcastle have shaded at least a half, so this market is worth probing. (1/3 with Bet Vickers

  3. First Goal – Newcastle United: Backed by a home crowd, St James’ Park will be rocking, and Newcastle could open the scoring. (8/15 with 247Bet)

Value Bets

Bookmakers worth wagering at will deviate from the norm and offer up some specials. Here are some value bets worth checking out for Newcastle United vs Sunderland.

  1. Anytime Scorer – Anthony Gordon: At the moment, Gordon has got the bit between his teeth, and having scored against Chelsea, his confidence will be high. Gordon to net anytime is inviting. (6/4 with Swifty Sports)

  2. Match Winning Margin - 1 Goal: Usually, contests have been tight, and so it could be just one goal that settles it. The winning margin line carries value. (29/20 with Best Odds)

  3. First Goal Method – Header: Last time around, Woltemade headed into his own net, and a goal could come from a set-piece, so this goal special has merit. (16/5 with Betnero)

Prediction: Draw

No love is lost between Newcastle United and Sunderland. While it feels like a dead rubber given their respective league positions, neither side will want to give an inch.

Sunderland will be dreaming of a league double, but Newcastle won’t want their season to fizzle out. There is plenty of quality over the pitch, and while the Black Cats eked out a 1-0 win in the corresponding fixture, we think the honours could be shared this time.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin is a seasoned sports and betting journalist with a career built around delivering insightful, engaging, and SEO-savvy content for a global digital audience. With a focus on football, NBA, NHL, golf, and a wide range of other sports, Charles has spent over a decade creating content that blends analysis, tips, and features in a way that keeps readers coming back.

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