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Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Saturday, March 14 Venue: Turf Moor Kick-off: 3pm GMT Burnley will be eager to keep their survival hopes alive when they welcome AFC Bournemouth to Turf Moor on Saturday, March 14. At this critical juncture of the season, points are priceless, and at our trusted football betting platforms, there will be ample markets bandied about ahead of kick-off. Over the past few weeks, Burnley had started to show some fight. They nearly pulled off an incredible comeback against Brentford when 3-0 down, but lost 4-3. A drab 2-0 reverse away to Everton, however, underlined their defensive deficiencies.

published: 10-03-2026

Last updated: 10-03-2026

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

5 minutes read

SportsBoom offers honest and impartial UK bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.

 Armando Broja of Burnley scores his team's first goal

Armando Broja of Burnley scores his team's first goal / Getty Images

In stark contrast, Bournemouth are in the ascendancy. While they were recently held to a goalless draw at home to Brentford, Andoni Iraola’s men haven’t lost in any of their past nine Premier League outings, underlying their rich vein of form.

Want the full lowdown? Our Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth calls on expert predictions and stats to bolster your chances of executing your betting strategies.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: AFC Bournemouth Backed

Premier League bookmakers typically offer the matchwinner line as a bare minimum for games. Ahead of Burnley vs Bournemouth, we’ve visited one of our preferred operators to assess the lay of the land:

  1. Home: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

  2. Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

  3. Away: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

    *Odds courtesy of Midnite, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Don’t overlook the importance of head-to-head records while compiling your betting slips. We’ve revealed the tale of the tape between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth, detailing the past few meetings:

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 20/12/25: AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley

  2. 03/03/24: Burnley 0-2 AFC Bournemouth

  3. 28/10/23: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley

  4. 22/02/20: Burnley 3-0 AFC Bournemouth

  5. 21/12/19: AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Burnley

Burnley Current Form: LWDLL

There have been some indicators that Burnley could pull off the seemingly impossible and cement their top-flight status.

A remarkable 3-2 come-from-behind win over Crystal Palace and another incredible fightback against Brentford showed there is still some life in the Clarets. Although in the latter, they were denied a late equaliser by VAR.

But against Everton, Burnley found themselves under pressure, managing just two shots on target, and they only attempted seven crosses into the box.

Burnley, who have averaged over 40% of possession across their games this campaign, could pose a threat against Bournemouth from corners. They desperately need the points, or they could finish rock bottom.

Key Players to Watch

  • Zian Flemming
    Known for his technical ability, Zian Flemming thrives playing just behind the frontline, and he’s been among the goals, scoring in back-to-back games against Chelsea and Brentford.
  • Jaidon Anthony
    A real livewire, Jaidon Anthony gives Burnley dynamism in attack. He’s netted twice in his past four outings, and Bournemouth will need to track his runs.
  • Hannibal Mejbri
    Although he has a slightly fiery side, given he’s picked up six cautions this term, Hannibal Mejbri is energetic and a great box-to-box midfielder. He may have only netted once this term

Burnley Team News

Burnley have a fairly extensive injury list, but many of these are long-term absentees, including Josh Cullen, who is still nursing a knee injury.

AFC Bournemouth Current Form – DWDDD

Under Iraola, Bournemouth have soared up the table, and they are currently ninth. Yes, there have been a few draws lately, but they have had luck desert them at times.

For example, against Brentford, Marcus Tavernier slammed two efforts against the post, and there was also a close penalty call that was waved away by referee Craig Pawson.

Despite having less possession against Brentford, Bournemouth moved seamlessly through the gears when on the counter, and they provide an entertaining brand of football.

Their crisp passing game could be too much for Burnley to handle, but Bournemouth need to tighten up as they have conceded 46 goals this term.

Key Players to Watch

  • Marcus Tavernier
    A marauding midfielder, Marcus Tavernier makes things happen. With six league goals to his name, he represents a serious threat.
  • Junior Kroupi
    An exciting striker, Junior Kroupi has been in the thick of things, netting eight times this term. Although he only made a cameo role against Brentford, he came close to adding to his tally, and he’s a handful.
  • Rayan
    While he only joined in the January transfer window, Rayan has plenty of flair, and he scored in two of his first three league appearances for the Cherries, so he’s one to watch.

Bournemouth Team News

Bournemouth are still missing a few players, including Lewis Cook (hamstring), but Iraola shouldn’t have too many selection dilemmas ahead of Burnley.

Suggested Bets

Our recommended list of betting sites will be brimming with markets for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth, so check out today’s tips and predictions.

  1. AFC Bournemouth Double Chance: The Cherries are undefeated in each of their past three meetings with Burnley, so the chance to cover two out of three possible outcomes here is enticing. (4/15 with QuinnBet)

  2. First Goal – AFC Bournemouth: Burnley have routinely fallen behind in league games this term, so Bournemouth to break the deadlock is appealing. (4/6 with Betway)

  3. 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals: While the previous clash this season was a slow burner, this game has often produced goals in the first half, so we’re not expecting it to be a stalemate at the interval (3/10 with William Hill)

Value Bets

Often, renowned sportsbooks will have longer prices attached to some markets, and we’ve picked a few for you to consider for Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth.

  1. Burnley to Win to Nil: Scott Parker’s charges have prevailed in two of the previous five encounters to nil, and they could squeak over the line again. (5/1 with Unibet)

  2. Anytime Scorer – Zian Flemming: Flemming has been in form, having struck twice in his past two league appearances, and he will fancy netting against Bournemouth. (5/2 with BetMGM)

  3. Junior Kroupi Over 1.5 Shots on Target – With an xG (expected goals) rate of 4.84, Kroupi is a threat, and Over 1.5 shots on target during the game is feasible. (9/5 with Leovegas)

Prediction: AFC Bournemouth to Win

Burnley, let’s face it, are in dire need of the points. Up until the Everton game, they appeared to be showing more resolve and grit required to stay up.

In contrast, Bournemouth have been making strides, and they are exciting to watch. While Iraola’s men had to settle for a draw in their previous meeting, the Cherries ran out 2-0 winners on their last trip to Turf Moor. We’re tempted by an away victory this time.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.