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Everton vs Burnley Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Tuesday, March 3 Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium Kick-off: 7:30pm A resurgent Everton will look to pile on the misery for Burnley when Scott Parker’s men roll into Merseyside on Tuesday, March 3. For all midweek games, trusted sites for football betting will have all bases covered, and that includes a plethora of odds for all bettors. Everton, after a sluggish start to the calendar year, have got their act together. Yes, there was a 2-1 defeat at home to Bournemouth last month, but they played the last segment of the game with 10 men. Burnley, on the other hand, are still stuck in quicksand, and they are running out of time to salvage their Premier League status. This fixture provided a drab goalless draw at Turf Moor, but will we see goals this time? Our Everton vs Burnley preview contains betting insights and stats to latch onto.

published: 23-12-2025

Last updated: 23-02-2026

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin
Sports Betting Writer
Chad Nagel
Sports Betting & Casino Editor

5 minutes read

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Josh Cullen of Burnley in action with Charly Alcaraz of Everton

Josh Cullen in action with Charly Alcaraz / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Everton Strong Favourites

Let’s take a quick look at the pre-match betting odds for Everton vs Burnley. The odds for this have been sourced from one of our preferred online betting sites.

  1. Home: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

  2. Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

  3. Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
    *Odds courtesy of William Hill, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League head-to-head records can prove invaluable when weighing up picks ahead of any given game. We’ve provided the recent tale of the tape between Everton and Burnley.

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 27/12/25: Burnley 0-0 Everton

  2. 06/04/24: Everton 1-0 Burnley

  3. 16/12/23: Burnley 0-2 Everton

  4. 06/04/22: Burnley 3-2 Everton

  5. 13/09/21: Everton 3-1 Burnley

Everton Current Form – WDDWL

Despite a recent misstep at home to Bournemouth, Everton have turned things around over the past few months.

David Moyes is a steady pair of hands, and his side’s hard work has generally yielded some positive results.

They have caused plenty of problems, and with an outside chance of Europe, there is plenty of reason to push themselves towards the end of the season.

Keeping possession and zipping the ball around the park could be the way to go against a Burnley side in desperate need of more points.

Key Players to Watch

  • Thierno Barry
    Having cemented a regular spot in Moyes’s starting XI, Thierno Barry has been making some key contributions, scoring five league goals, and he can be a handful.
  • Iliman Ndiaye
    Iliman Ndiaye has been a key source of goals for Everton, netting five, and his expected goals (xG) rate of 4.47 is highly impressive.
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
    Quick and composed on the ball, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall links up the attacking play well, and seven goal involvements this term (five goals and two assists) emphasise his importance to the cause.

Everton Team News

The only long-term absentee is Jack Grealish (foot), but other than that, Moyes has plenty of bodies available to face Burnley.

Burnley Current Form – DLLWD

Although things look slightly desperate for Burnley, given they are at the time of writing, eight points adrift of safety, they have looked good on the road.

An incredible turnaround against Crystal Palace, where they came from 2-0 to win 3-2, was impressive, but to clinch a last-gasp draw away to Chelsea was a fabulous result.

Scott Parker’s men have looked susceptible defending set-pieces, but if they can throw men forward and toss plenty of balls into the box, they could hurt Everton.

Key Players to Watch

  • Zian Flemming
    Although he has missed a few games through injury, Zian Flemming is adept in the air, as shown by his superb header against Chelsea, so Everton need to mark him tightly.
  • Hannibal Mejbri
    Hannibal Mejbri can be overzealous at times, and he’s always fully committed, but he can make a difference in games. He will, of course, be eager to add to his two goal involvements (one goal and one assist) when his side makes the trip to Merseyside.
  • Lesley Ugochukwu
    A powerful midfielder, Lesley Ugochukwu loves to make marauding runs, and he’s also contributed three league goals, so he knows where the goal is!

Burnley Team News

Burnley are sweating over the fitness of a couple of players, including Connor Roberts, but Parker doesn’t have too many injury issues to contend with.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Everton (4-2-3-1)

    Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko, Garner, Gueye, Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, George; Barry

  2. Burnley (3-4-2-1)

    Dubravka; Walker, Worrall, Esteve, Laurent, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Humphreys, Edwards, Anthony; Flemming

Suggested Bets

Premier League sportsbooks are brimming with odds, and we’ve weighed in with free tips and predictions.

  1. Under 2.5 Goals: The past three meetings have been far from riveting affairs, with two goals or fewer netted, so Under 2.5 goals makes sense here. (4/5 with Midnite)

  2. First Goal – Everton: Although the previous encounter was rather drab, Everton could come firing out of the blocks, and they could open the scoring. (1/2 with Betway)

  3. Everton Over 1.5 Goals: Everton have scored at least two goals against Burnley in two of their past four clashes, so this has some legs to it. (7/10 with Bzeebet)

Value Bets

A getting started offer is always worth using when discovering value bets for games such as Everton vs Burnley.

  1. Everton Clean Sheet (Yes): Although Everton’s defence has been breached in their past four league outings, they could well shut up shop against Burnleey like they did last time at Turf Moor. (11/10 with Kwiff)

  2. First Goal Method – Header: This is always an intriguing line, but set-pieces could come into play, and the first goal to be netted via a header appears inviting. (49/10 with Jeffbet)

  3. Anytime scorer – Iliman Ndiaye: After ending a long goalscoring drought against Bournemouth at the start of last month, Ndiaye could well find the target against Burnley. (8/5 with Copybet)

Prediction: Everton to Win

Everton have looked better lately, and they won’t want to pass up the opportunity to secure a spot in the Europa League next season. Although Burnley have picked up some results on the road, most notably against Palace and Chelsea, they still appear to be poised to head back to the Championship.

While the previous encounter ended in a goalless stalemate, Everton have prevailed in the past two meetings at home. It may be a tightly-contested game, but it could be one where Everton comes out on top.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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