Football
Burnley vs Everton Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction
Date: Saturday, December 27 Venue: Turf Moor Kick-off: 3pm GMT Burnley will look to breathe life into their survival bid when they take on Everton in a critical Premier League clash on Saturday, December 27. Last time out, Burnley picked up a point away to Bournemouth, but they are 19th in the table, seven points adrift of safety, which is concerning. Everton, on the other hand, have seen results dip, and they fell to a 1-0 defeat at home to Arsenal last weekend, and it was a game where they had their backs to the wall for large chunks of it. Traditionally, Everton have dominated this fixture, and they have won three of the past four clashes, something that will worry Burnley fans. SportsBoom will be all over the festive fixtures, and we’ve sourced some pre-match odds from the top football betting sites, which should serve as an inspiration for picks to settle on.
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Burnley manager Scott Parker /Getty Images
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Everton Short Priced
Premier League betting sites will be compiling odds, and this is what the match winner market currently looks like:
Home: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
Away: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
*Odds courtesy of BetMGM, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record
The Premier League head-to-head records make for interesting reading, and this is the tale of the tape between Burnley and Everton.
06/04/2024: Everton 1-0 Burnley
16/12/2023: Burnley 0-2 Everton
06/04/2022: Burnley 3-2 Everton
13/09/2021: Everton 3-1 Burnley
13/03/2021: Everton 1-2 Burnley
Burnley Current Form – LLLLD
Okay, it would be hyperbole to suggest that Burnley are doomed, but unless they start picking up points soon, they could find themselves in quicksand. 19th in the table, they aren’t in dire straits like Wolves, who have mustered just two points from 17 games, but these are worrying times.
Scott Parker’s troops have managed just 19 goals, so there is a lack of cutting edge up front; however, they have frequently been bullied in games.
To put things into context, Burnley lost seven games on the trot before a last-gasp equaliser from Armando Broja stopped the record extending to eight matches.
Key Players to Watch
- Armando Broja
Although he’s only netted once in the league this season and has been restricted at times to cameo appearances, his intervention against Bournemouth was perfect timing, and he will be hoping to add some more goals over the coming weeks. - Lesley Ugochukwu
Forget for a moment his red card against Liverpool back in September, Lesly Ugochukwu has scored three times this season, and the 21-year-old Frenchman has produced a series of stirring performances that have caught the eye. - Josh Cullen
An ever-present feature in the Burnley starting XI, Josh Cullen has popped up with a couple of goals, and he’s fearless going in for tackles. He’s got three yellow cards this term, so he’s inching closer to a suspension, but he’ll put in a shift against Everton.
Burnley Team News
Burnley have lost a couple of players who are on Africa Cup of Nations duty, while Hannibal Mejbri is ruled out through suspension.
Everton Current Form – LWWLL
Everton have gone through the motions over the past couple of weeks, but their back-to-back defeats came against Chelsea and Arsenal.
Only a few weeks ago, Everton were seventh, but they have slipped to 10th, and David Moyes’ men need to press the reset button.
Against Arsenal, they were penned in for large periods, trying to produce a low block. However, against Burnley, the Toffees will be hoping to be more expressive and carry more of an attacking threat.
Key Players to Watch
- Jack Grealish
A real livewire, Jack Grealish is never far away from the action, and he’s had six goal involvements this term (two goals and four assists), so Burnley will need to have a game plan to keep him quiet. - Thierno Barry
Direct and pacey, Thierno Barry has influenced games a lot more in recent weeks, and Burnley will need to cut out the supply to him. - Jordan Pickford
Okay, Jordan Pickford has shipped 20 goals this term, but he has pulled off some big saves this season, and he commands his area well. He will need to be up to the test with whatever Burnley throw at him
Everton Team News
Seamus Coleman remains sidelined with a thigh injury, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall will be assessed ahead of Burnley (also thigh).
Predicted Line-Ups
Premier League sportsbooks have most bases covered for markets, so here are a few suggested football betting tips to pay attention to:
Burnley (4-4-2)
Dubravka, Laurent, Worrall, Ekdal, Lucas Pires, Walker, Ugochukwu, Cullen, Anthony, Larsen; Flemming
Everton (4-2-3-1)
Pickford, O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko, Iroegbunam, Garner, McNeil, Alcaraz, Grealish; Barry
Suggested Bets
Everton to Win: Although they’ve seen results slip recently, Everton have still made strides this term, and they’ve won three of their past four league clashes against Burnley. It could be a comfortable afternoon for the Toffees. (9/10 with Bet442)
Total Goals Under 2.5: Apart from a 5-1 win away to Burnley in 2018, recent contests haven’t been goal fests, so the Under 2.5 line appeals. (3/5 with BetUK)
1st Half Exact Goals – 1: The previous three clashes have seen goals netted in the first half, but Burnley at home will try to give the fans something to cheer about. However, the exact goals line is calling out. (23/20 with Fitzdares)
Value Bets
Anytime Goalscorer - Thierno Barry: Despite not being exactly prolific this term, Thierno Barry tends to make clever runs, and against more limited opposition in Burnley, he could profit. (2/1 with Betway)
Everton to Win to Nil: Everton’s last two league clashes with Burnley have seen them win to nil, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if they win to nil at Turf Moor. (2/1 with QuinnBet)
Everton to Win 2-0 (Correct Score): In the previous corresponding fixture, Everton ran out 2-0 winners, and we like to look for patterns, so it could be worth tapping into. (8/1 with Spreadex)
Prediction: Everton to Win to Nil
Despite being disappointed after coming away empty-handed from their past two games, Everton have more going for them this season, and Burnley have had to endure some tough lessons in the top flight. Premier League clashes between these sides have been tilted in Everton’s favour, and they’ve often won comfortably. The Toffees will be eager to bounce back from their reverses against Chelsea and Arsenal, and they could well coast to victory without conceding a goal either.
Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.
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