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Burnley vs Chelsea Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Saturday, February 21 Venue: Stamford Bridge Kick-off: 3pm GMT Chelsea will look to continue their resurgence when they host strugglers Burnley at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, February 21. With matters to be decided in the top four and the relegation zone, the top football betting sites will be brimming with odds to engage punters. The arrival of Liam Rosenior has given Chelsea a new lease of life, and they have chalked up four league wins on the bounce to keep themselves in striking distance of Manchester United, who are currently occupying fourth spot.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-02-10

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Enzo Fernandez of Chelsea scores his side's second goal

Enzo Fernandez of Chelsea scores his side's second goal

Pre-Game Odds & Win Probability

Premier League betting sites will be laden with odds, including the matchwinner market, which we have revealed for this upcoming game:

  1. Home: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%

  2. Draw: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

  3. Away: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League head-to-head records count for a lot, so let’s explore the tale of the tape between Chelsea and Burnley.

  1. 22/11/25: Burnley 0-2 Chelsea

  2. 30/03/24: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley

  3. 07/10/23: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea

  4. 05/03/22: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea

  5. 06/11/21: Chelsea 1-1 Burnley

Chelsea Current Form – LWWWW

Under Rosenior, Chelsea are starting to catch fire at exactly the right time, and they are firmly in the picture for a top-four finish.

They have been in a rich vein of form, chalking off four league wins in a row, and against Wolves, they made light work of them at Molineux.

With an array of attacking talent at their disposal, as long as Chelsea aren’t complacent, they won’t fear whatever Burnley throw at them.

Key Players to Watch

  • Cole Palmer
    The club’s undoubted talisman, Cole Palmer may have missed a fair chunk of the season through injury, but he’s shown his class lately, including a first-half hat-trick against Wolves.
  • Moises Caicedo
    While he can be a bit rash with his challenges, Moises Caicedo gives Chelsea much-needed steel in the middle of the park, and he has popped up with the odd spectacular strike too.
  • Enzo Fernandez
    A thorn in the side of Burnley earlier in the season, the Clarets will need to track Enzo Fernandez, who is known for his quicksilver movement.

Chelsea Team News

Chelsea’s treatment table is busy, but some players are in contention to return, including Reece James and Pedro Neto, who will both be monitored in the run-up to kick-off.

Burnley Current Form – DDDLL

Although there was a glimmer of hope for Burnley last month, such hopes of surviving are beginning to dwindle.

They look almost as good as gone with back-to-back defeats against Sunderland and West Ham have left Scott Parker’s men staring down the abyss.

Rather than sit back, Burnley need to have a right good go, and as Chelsea have shown at times earlier in the campaign, they can be vulnerable at home.

Key Players to Watch

  • Lesley Ugochukwu
    A strong, bustling midfielder, Lesly Ugochukwu loves to venture forward, and he gives Burnley plenty of energy.
  • Jaidon Anthony
    While he’s gone the past four games without scoring, Jaidon Anthony is always positive on the ball, and he puts himself into excellent positions, so Chelsea need to keep tabs on him.
  • Kyle Walker
    A journeyman Premier League defender, Kyle Walker may be nearing the end of his career, but his swashbuckling runs help Burnley advance up the pitch.

Burnley Team News

Connor Roberts (knock) could come into contention to face Chelsea, but the absence of Josh Cullen has hurt the Clarets.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

    Sánchez; Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella, Santos, Caicedo, Neto, Palmer, Fernandez; Pedro

  2. Burnley (4-5-1)

    Dúbravka; Walker, Humphreys, Estève, Pires, Edwards, Mejbri, Florentino, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming

Suggested Bets

Premier League sportsbooks worth their salt will be well-endowed with odds. We’ve picked out some markets and shared some betting tips to consider before kick-off.

  1. First Team to Score – Chelsea: Under Rosenior, Chelsea are showing more verve in transitions. The Blues have opened the scoring in the past two league meetings with Burnley, so this is worth latching onto. (1/4 with Spreadex)

  2. First Half Result – Chelsea: Given the gulf of quality between these two teams, and the way in which Chelsea dismantled Burnley with consummate ease at Turf Moor, the home side to be ahead at half-time makes sense. (3/5 with Bzeebet)

  3. Both Teams to Score (Yes): Although Burnley have been swatted aside by Chelsea in recent seasons, invariably Burnley have netted, so the BTTS line is appealing. (9/10 with Bet442)

Value Bets

Premier League sites have brilliant free bets that will accompany your value picks, so make the most of them for this game:

  1. Draw: Burnley are fighting for their lives, and they desperately need a win. Interestingly, the Clarets have drawn on their previous two visits to Stamford Bridge, so there is some value in this market. (19/4 with QuinnBet)

  2. First Goalscorer – Cole Palmer: Approaching his best form again, Palmer, who has netted three times in his past two league appearances against Burnley, the Blues talisman could open the scoring. (17/5 with BetMGM)

  3. Burnley Goalkeeper Saves (Over 5.5): Martin Dubravka could be in for a very busy afternoon, and Chelsea could lay siege to his goal. In the previous meeting, Chelsea managed five shots on target, but Over 5.5 across 90 minutes is attainable. (7/5 with Leovegas)

Prediction: Chelsea to Win

For a side that is battling strong headwinds to stay afloat, a trip to Stamford Bridge is probably the last thing that Burnley needed. Although they have drawn on their past two visits to West London, Chelsea are in form, and they are looking good for a top-four finish.

Rosenior, in his early days as Blues boss, has been making all the right noises, and this could well be another accomplished display from his side. Chelsea could cruise to victory to deepen Burnley’s woes.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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