Football
Burnley vs Chelsea Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: November 22, 2025 Venue: Turf Moor Kickoff Time: 14:30 Burnley have managed to stay above the relegation zone and grind out some impressive results since making their way back into the Premier League. Team chemistry, organization, and determination have been Scott Parker’s line of attack, which has come to the forefront of their success thus far. Meanwhile, Chelsea have worked their way back into the top four of the Premier League, despite all the unwanted noise regarding their inconsistencies and uncertainty at times. The international break provided both teams with the opportunity to regroup, refine their style of play, and come back refreshed with renewed energy ahead of this matchup.
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EPL Live Odds
With an underwhelming record of seven defeats, three draws, and zero wins from the last 10 encounters, Burnley will have to be near perfect if they aim to come away with a favourable result at a filled Turf Moor stadium against a resurgent Chelsea outfit on 22 November 2025. That said, the Clarets will draw confidence, especially playing at home, after they drew 2-2 with the Blues at Stamford Bridge in their most recent fixture. Furthermore, Premier League betting fans can analyze both teams to find the best value.
Pre-Game Odds & Win Probability
HOME (BURNLEY): 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
AWAY (CHELSEA): 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
Odds courtesy of William Hill, subject to change.
Head-To-Head Record
Last five meetings (All Competitions)
30/03/2024: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
07/10/2023: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
05/03/2022: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea
06/11/2021: Chelsea 1-1 Burnley
31/01/2021: Chelsea 2-0 Burnley
Burnley Current Form – LLWWL
Scott Parker has gone from strength to strength since becoming a manager and has gained much-needed experience throughout his coaching journey. Parker replaced Vincent Kompany in July 2024, guided Burnley back to the Premier League in April 2025, and has maintained their identity as well as competitive nature while managing to compete with the tough competition in the English top-flight.
Before the international break, the Clarets lost three games and won two, collecting six valuable points across the last five matches. Parker’s men fell to defeat against Aston Villa, Arsenal, and West Ham, but showed character during this time, leading to victories against Wolves as well as Leeds. Although this record may look concerning, all three defeats were by one goal margin, besides Arsenal, meaning they do pose a threat and will look to put Chelsea under pressure at Turf Moor.
Key Players To Watch
- Josh Cullen: Cullen is a strong physical midfielder who excels in ground duels. His positioning allows him to sniff out danger, close down passing lanes, and make interceptions that break up attacks. As the captain of the Clarets, Cullen uses his leadership qualities to guide his team and always shows great commitment. Furthermore, the Irish international is a great playmaker and can also score goals.
- Zian Flemming: Despite coming from the lower league in the Championship, Flemming has adjusted to the Premier League well and has been the danger man for Burnley in recent matches. The Dutchman has scored three goals in the last three matches, proving to be a threat in the final third and an important piece of Scott Parker’s attack.
- Martin Dubravka: Dubravka has been exceptional between the sticks for Burnley, even though they have won just three out of 11 games and kept two clean sheets. His experience is invaluable to his team and has been a great acquisition for the Clarets. The Slovakian has proven on many occasions in times of need to have excellent agility and shot-stopping abilities.
Burnley Team News
Hjalmar Ekdal has recovered from his eye injury and could return to the starting lineup against Chelsea. Jordan Beyer will be sidelined for the foreseeable future after sustaining a hamstring injury during his recovery. Connor Roberts was hoping to be back in action after the international break, but after suffering a minor setback, he is looking at more time out, possibly until mid-December. Amdouni suffered an ACL injury during pre-season and is expected to miss most, if not all, of the 2025/26 campaign.
Chelsea Current Form – LWWDW
Even though Enzo Maresca has come under scrutiny at times, the Italian has done a great job managing his big squad. Coming into the 2025/26 season with very little rest after winning the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup during the offseason, the Blues have come across some obstacles along the way due to a heavy schedule, but are still competing at the top of the Premier League table with a group of young and exciting players.
After the shocking defeat to Sunderland, Maresca has silenced his critics with an unbeaten run of four games in all competitions and occupies third place on the Premier League table, just six points behind league leaders Arsenal. What is even more admirable, Chelsea are unbeaten in the last four away fixtures during this time and find themselves playing with confidence. With the 10-game unbeaten run against Burnley, Maresca will have respect for his opponents, but at the same time want to secure maximum points to stay in the early title chase.
Key Players To Watch
- Reece James: James has had difficulty navigating his way through injuries, but is now starting to look like he’s enjoying football again without any concerns. Maresca has done a fine job managing his playing time, and as each game goes by, the England international is beginning to have a big influence and impact on the team. His quality on the ball is undeniable, and his tactical awareness is extremely valuable for his team.
- Alejandro Garnacho: Garnacho had to wait for his moment to break into the team, and now looks to have secured his place after showing up with strong performances recently. His pace allows him to put defenders under pressure in one-on-one situations. He has the skill to work in tight spaces and create scoring opportunities. He makes intelligent runs in the final third and has a keen eye for goal.
- Moises Caicedo: Caicedo is arguably the best central midfielder in the Premier League right now. The way he controls and orchestrates everything through the heart of the midfield has been exceptional. He is never hiding away from the ball or in the field of play and is always available to offer himself during tight situations defensively as well as when linking up play in attack.
Chelsea Team News
Cole Palmer remains in the rehabilitation process for his groin injury and is pushing to make a return next month. Benoit Badiashile is ahead of schedule in recovering from a muscle injury and could find himself in the team to face Burnley. Romeo Lavia has had his fair share of injuries and is pushing to make a strong comeback from a quad injury he sustained against Qarabag. Enzo Fernandez (bone edema) and Pedro Neto (groin) will be closely monitored ahead of this fixture, but will be available if needed.
Predicted Line-Up
Burnley: 4-2-3-1
M. Dubravka, K. Walker, A. Tuanzebe, M. Esteve, L. Pires, L. Tchaouna, J. Cullen, L. Ugochukwu, Florentino, J. Anthony, Z. FlemmingChelsea: 4-2-3-1
R. Sanchez, R. James, T. Chalobah, W. Fofana, M. Cucurella, M. Caicedo, E. Fernandez, Estevao, J. Gittens, A. Garnacho, J. Pedro
Suggested Bets
When considering the betting rules, you can make a real difference in evaluating markets and placing informed bets.
Chelsea To Win: Maresca will expect his men to maintain their professionalism and control proceedings from the first whistle. 13/25 (1.52) with William Hill.
Over 2.5 Goals: With Chelsea’s deep pool of attacking threats and Burnley having the third-worst defence in the league, expect the Blues to take advantage. 3/4 (1.75) with Betway
Team 2 To Score Goal 1 (Chelsea): Chelsea will impose themselves from the first whistle and are clinical in attack. 21/50 (1.42) with Unibet.
Value Bets
With smart sports betting strategies and tips, you can take advantage of this matchup and earn big on your return.
Anytime Goal Scorer (Joao Pedro): Pedro has great movement in the final third and has a keen eye for goal. 131/100 (2.31) with Midnite.
Team 2 To Win By Exact Goal – 2 (Chelsea): Pedro is an exceptional football player and knows how to find the back of the net. 63/20 (4.15) with BetMGM
Clean Sheet (Chelsea): The Blues are solid defensively and could shut the door on Burnley. 11/10 (2.1) with William Hill.
Prediction: Chelsea to Win
Burnley will need to have a cautious approach and choose the right moments when to attack while being well-organized defensively, as Chelsea has a quality squad with players who can impact the game at any moment. With just two wins at home and Chelsea’s unbeaten run away from home, expect Maresca and his men to come away victorious.
A dedicated sports lover with a wealth of experience in the sports betting world, Marc Strydom has mostly worked as an Editor-in-chief of a sports betting newspaper in South Africa. Marc’s enthusiasm covers many sports, though he is most passionate about football and the NBA. He has covered a wide range of topics on multiple respected platforms.
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