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Arsenal vs Chelsea Preview: Odds, Tips & Predictions

Date: Sunday, March 1 Venue: Emirates Stadium Kick-off: 4:30pm GMT Arsenal and Chelsea will look to pen another memorable chapter in their storied rivalry at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday, March 1. Crunch Premier League clashes, such as this, warrant plenty of attention, and the top football betting sites will be piling in with odds to spark interest in the days and hours leading up to kick-off. As things stand, Arsenal have Manchester City breathing down their necks, and the Gunners will have been disappointed by their draw last month away to Brentford. Mikel Arteta’s men have been calling the shots in the title race to date, but there could be more twists and turns.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-02-16

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Kai Havertz of Arsenal attempts to score past Roberto Sanchez of Chelsea FC

Kai Havertz of Arsenal attempts to score past Roberto Sanchez of Chelsea FC / Getty Images

Chelsea, meanwhile, harbours ambitions of a top-four finish, and while they embarked on a four-match winning streak, they were held by Leeds after storming into a 2-0 lead.
There isn’t much love lost between Arsenal and Chelsea, but what should you expect? Our preview contains useful strategies and Premier League stats for betting.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Arsenal Strong Favourites

To begin with, let’s take a glance at the pre-match betting odds offered for Arsenal vs Chelsea at one of the most reputable online betting operators:

  1. Home: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

  2. Draw: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

  3. Away: 15/4 (3.75) – 21.1%
    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League head-to-head records count for something, so it’s time to explore the recent tale of the tape between Arsenal and Chelsea.

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 30/11/25: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal

  2. 16/03/25: Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea

  3. 10/11/24: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal

  4. 23/04/24: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea

  5. 21/10/23: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal

Chelsea Current Form – WWWD

Chelsea are a curious case. At times, they seem to be quite robust, but on other occasions, they look like they can capitulate.

Liam Rosenior, who hasn’t been in the  Blues hotseat for that long, is starting to figure out things about his team. There will have been some positive aspects, such as the way they transition into attack, and they have serious quality.

Often, Chelsea have been unable to impose themselves at the Emirates, but they will need to step up if they are going to get a positive result to keep themselves in the hunt for a top-four finish.

Key Players to Watch

  • Cole Palmer
    Ice cold in front of goal, Cole Palmer last scored against the Gunners in 2023, so he will relish the chance to end his drought.
  • Enzo Fernandez
    A midfield maestro, Enzo Fernandez has been one of Chelsea’s standout players this term, firing home eight goals and popping up with two assists.
  • Moises Caicedo
    A no-nonsense kind of player, Moises Caicedo anchors the midfield well, and he breaks up the play well. He’s also netted three times, so he’s not completely goal shy.

Chelsea Team News

Chelsea have a fairly extensive injury list, and that includes Jamie Gittens (hamstring), but Rosenior shouldn’t have too many problems picking his starting XI.

Arsenal Current Form – DLWWD

Although Arsenal are still top of the table, not everything has been completely smooth sailing.

There have been a couple of bumps in the road lately, and that included a 3-2 defeat at home to Manchester United, while Brentford nicked a point off them at the Gtech Community Stadium.

During the latter parts of the season, experience counts for a lot, and while the Gunners have come close over previous campaigns to lifting the title, nerves will begin to kick in as the finishing line comes into sight.

London derbies with Chelsea could prove to be another litmus test in terms of determining whether they are capable of winning the league.

Key Players to Watch

  • Declan Rice
    A midfield metronome, Declan Rice boasts brilliant vision, and he’s had seven goal involvements this term (four goals and three assists), so he could influence the outcome.
  • Martin Zubimendi
    The Spanish midfielder has continued to grow in stature, and he has found the net more regularly too, scoring twice in his past three league outings.
  • Viktor Gyokeres
    Although he’s had his struggles, Viktor Gyokeres holds the ball up well, has a quick turn of pace, and he’s well set to hit double figures in his debut Premier League campaign.

Arsenal Team News

Bar Mikel Merino (foot), Arsenal should be able to field a full-strength side to face Chelsea.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Arsenal (4-2-3-1)

    Raya; Timber, Mosquera, Gabriel, Hincapie, Zubimendi, Rice, Madueke, Saka, Trossard; Gyokeres

  2. Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

    Sanchez, Gusto, Acheampong, Chalobah, Cucurella, Caicedo, Santos, Estevao, Palmer, Fernandez; Pedro

Suggested Bets

Premier League bookmakers will be stacked with pre-match lines, and we’ve highlighted a few popular football betting tips.

  1. Over 2.5 Goals: These fixtures tend to be laden with goals, and the Over 2.5 goals line has been comfortably met in two of the past three league clashes at the Emirates, so this appeal. (3/4 with Bet442)

  2. Both Teams to Score (Yes): Both sides have plenty of firepower, and they have scored 97 goals between them in the league this term. The BTTS line is worth considering. (8/11 with Midnite)

  3. Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals: Having taken into account the BTTS line and the Over 2.5 goals, Arsenal to score Over 1.5 goals across the 90 minutes seems sensible too. (13/20 with Bzeebet)

Value Bets

Premier League sportsbooks usually have a good welcome bonus to accompany their value bets posted.

  1. Anytime Goalscorer – Declan Rice: It’s been a while since Rice last scored against Chelsea, but given his quality, particularly from dead-ball situations, you wouldn’t put it past him to net (19/5 with Leovegas)

  2. Arsenal to Win & BTTS (Yes): Having gone for the BTTS line, we see Arsenal coming out on top, so combining both markets has value. (9/4 with BetMGM)

  3. First Team to Score – Chelsea: In the corresponding fixture at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season, Chelsea took the lead before Arsenal rescued a point. The Blues to break the deadlock looks inviting. (5/2 with QuinnBet) 

Prediction: Arsenal to Win

Arsenal and Chelsea have played out some fascinating contests, and the stakes are high given the context of the season. While Chelsea are in the mix for a top-four spot, Arsenal won’t want to cede any ground in the title race.

Although the pressure has been ramped up on the Gunners, the head-to-head record suggests Arteta’s side have come out on top at the Emirates. This could be a pulsating encounter, and while it could be a tight affair, we are backing Arsenal to pick up three points.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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