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Aston Villa vs Leeds United Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Saturday, February 21 Venue: Villa Park Kick-off: 3pm GMT Aston Villa will look to revive their faltering title challenge when they host Leeds United at Villa Park on Saturday, February 21. Unai Emery’s men have slipped up in recent weeks, and that included 1-0 defeats against Everton and Brentford. Nevertheless, many of the top football betting sites will be well stocked with odds for their clash against Leeds to sink your teeth into. Leeds, on the other hand, may be trying to swim against the tide as they are currently 16th, but they have belied their position with some promising performances. It’s just a case of luck deserting them at times. Daniel Farke’s side were on the wrong side of a 2-1 scoreline at home to Villa earlier in the season, but can they chalk up a win this time? Our comprehensive preview shares some tried and trusted football betting strategies to follow.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-02-10

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Morgan Rogers of Aston Villa scores the second and winning goal

Morgan Rogers scores the second and winning goal / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Aston Villa Favoured

As a starting point, online sports betting operators offer the matchwinner line. Let’s see what the early prices look like for Aston Villa and Leeds United:

  1. Home: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

  2. Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

  3. Away: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Premier League head-to-head records serve a purpose. Let’s uncover the recent tale of the tape between Aston Villa and Leeds United.

  1. 23/11/25: Leeds United 1-2 Aston Villa

  2. 13/01/23: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds United

  3. 02/10/22: Leeds United 0-0 Aston Villa

  4. 10/03/22: Leeds United 0-3 Aston Villa

  5. 09/02/22: Aston Villa 3-3 Leeds United

Aston Villa Current Form: DLWLD

Although Villa have acquitted themselves brilliantly this term, and been in contention for the title for large chunks of it, the wheels have started to fall off slightly over the past few weeks.

Trying to replicate the unbelievable achievement of Leicester City a decade ago was always going to be a tough order, but Emery’s charges are primed for a top-four finish, and even runner-up is a strong possibility.

Nevertheless, Villa, who have come up short against Everton and Brentford, need to re-focus and get back to basics. Doing so will give them a great chance against Leeds.

Key Players to Watch

  • Morgan Rogers
    A life-saver at times this season with his spectacular strikes, Morgan Rogers has notched up seven league goals, and Leeds should be on guard.
  • Emiliano Buendia
    Emiliano Buendia has been able to express himself more freely in recent weeks, and he has shown he can find the net too, as he did superbly well against Newcastle last month.
  • Ollie Watkins
    Quick and direct, Ollie Watkins’ movement is sharp in and around the penalty area, and usually gets plenty of opportunities fall his way. With eight league goals to his name, Watkins could cause Leeds problems.

Aston Villa Team News

John McGinn and Youri Tielemans (ankle) remain sidelined, but Villa have a near full-strength side to face Leeds United.

Leeds United Current Form – LWDLW

Enterprising and brave, Leeds have provided plenty of flair, and they have weighed in with plenty of goals.

Well, 43 to be exact. Although they were put to the sword by a rampant Arsenal last month, the emphatic win over Nottingham Forest will have given them a much-needed lift.

Although Leeds haven’t had much luck at times throughout the season, if they dig deep, defend in numbers, and hit Villa on the counter, they could avenge the 2-1 reverse from earlier this season.

Key Players to Watch

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    Before the season started, it seemed Dominic Calvert-Lewin had little killer instinct. However, he has been razor sharp in front of goal, and his 10 strikes this term have given Leeds more than a fighting chance of survival.
  • Anton Stach
    A stylish midfielder, Anton Stach is box-to-box, and his six goal involvements (three goals and three assists) could be key to unlocking the Villa defence.
  • Ethan Ampadu
    A powerful centre-back, Ethan Ampadu is calm on the ball, and he plays a key role in Leeds’ transitions, so Villa will need to press him.

Leeds United Team News

Anton Stach (muscle) should be passed fit, while Pascal Struijk (hip) is sidelined. Farke should still be able to field a strong side to face Villa.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)

    Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Onana, Luiz, Sancho, Rogers, Buendia; Watkins

  2. Leeds United (3-4-2-1)

    Darlow; Justin, Rodon, Bournaw, Ampadu, Bogle, Gruev, Gudmundsson, Aaronson, Okafor; Calvert-Lewin

Suggested Bets

Premier League sportsbooks will be on hand to keep fans in the loop, and we’ve shared some juicy football betting tips with you.

  1. Both Teams to Score: Only once in the past seven league meetings has the BTTS line not been met, so this is worth leaning into. (7/10 with William Hill)

  2. Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals: In four of the past five league clashes, Villa have scored at least two goals, so this line carries some weight. (3/4 with Bet442)

  3. First Team to Score – Aston Villa: Although Leeds opened the scoring at Elland Road earlier in the season, Villa could come flying out of the blocks and break the deadlock. (20/23 with QuinnBet)

Value Bets

New customers can take advantage of welcome bonus offers when placing their first bets, with terms and conditions applying.

  1. Anytime Goalscorer – Morgan Rogers: Pulling Villa out of many a sticky situation, Rogers hit a double in the corresponding fixture with Leeds, so he could find the net across the 90 minutes. (21/10 with BetMGM)

  2. Anytime Assist – Emiliano Buendia: While he has more goals than assists this season, Buendia could pop up and lay on an assist for a team-mate. (14/5 with Leovegas)

  3. Leeds 1st Half Result: Leeds held their own when they hosted Villa at Elland Road, and with Villa having to mount many a comeback, Emery’s side could trail at the break.

Prediction: Aston Villa to Win

Although Villa have had some travails lately, they have generally proved this season that they have a team glittering with quality, and they can punish their opponents.

Leeds, as we have seen, haven’t had much luck go their way, but they have often been wasteful when presented with good openings. Villa nicked three points when they went to Elland Road earlier in the campaign, and it could be another keenly-contested affair. However, we expected Villa to see off Leeds and deliver a win.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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