Football
Football
Guide
Gambling

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Preview: Odds, Tips & Prediction

Date: Saturday, February 21 Venue: Etihad Stadium Kick-off: 8pm GMT Manchester City round off Saturday’s Premier League action by welcoming Newcastle United to the Etihad. Far from throwing in the towel in the title race, City are asking questions of Arsenal. Naturally, the best football betting sites will be abreast of key developments at the top of the table, and will be plastered with odds. Although City have stumbled at times and failed to kill off teams, the 2-1 win away to Liverpool earlier this month was a fabulous result for a side that has enjoyed an abundance of success under Pep Guardiola. Newcastle, on the other hand, have fumbled under Eddie Howe, and being in the bottom half of the table falls far below their lofty ambitions.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-02-10

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

SportsBoom offers honest and impartial UK bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.

Manchester City's Antoine Semenyo celebrates scoring the opening goal

Antoine Semenyo celebrates scoring the opening goal / Getty Images

Newcastle, on the other hand, have fumbled under Eddie Howe, and being in the bottom half of the table falls far below their lofty ambitions.

City have often had the better of things against Newcastle at home in recent seasons, but will that trend continue? Our Manchester City vs Newcastle United preview gives you the full lowdown, and we’ve shared some intriguing betting strategies.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Manchester City Backed

Premier League betting sites are brimming with odds, and this is how the odds are looking ahead of Manchester City vs Newcastle United:

  1. Home: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%

  2. Draw: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%

  3. Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
    *Odds courtesy of William Hill, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Matches between Manchester City and Newcastle United are rarely drab affairs, so let’s look back on how past matches have unfolded. The tale of the tape explains more:

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 22/11/25: Newcastle United 2-1 Manchester City

  2. 15/02/25: Manchester City 4-0 Newcastle United

  3. 28/09/24: Newcastle United 1-1 Manchester City

  4. 13/01/24: Newcastle United 2-3 Manchester City

  5. 19/08/23: Manchester City 1-0 Newcastle United

Manchester City Current Form – DLWDW

After a slight slump in form at the beginning of January, Manchester City aren’t letting Arsenal out of their sights anytime soon.

Guardiola’s charges have been here many times before, and they have reeled in the Gunners in past seasons, chasing bigger deficits in pursuit of the title. The goals have flowed (51 and counting), and they seem to be more assured going forward.

While Phil Foden’s drop-off in form has been slightly disconcerting, City can kill teams off at will with their dazzling brand of football, so Newcastle can’t be too expansive in their approach to this game.

Key Players to Watch

  • Erling Haaland
    Who else?! Erling Haaland has blasted home 21 league goals this term, and he often sends shivers down the spine of defenders. Newcastle will need to keep a tight leash on him.
  • Antoine Semenyo
    A January transfer window signing, Antoine Semenyo has hit the ground running, netting four times in seven games across all competitions. His pace and trickery make him a handful.
  • Rayan Cherki
    With 10 goal involvements this term (three goals and seven assists), Rayan Cherki gives City a bit of panache, and he’s one to keep your eyes on.

Manchester City Team News

Jeremy Doku (calf) and Mateo Kovacic (ankle) will miss this game, and City have a fairly extensive injury list. However, this won’t worry Guardiola with his team selection

Newcastle United Current Form – WDLLL

Newcastle United desperately need to stop the rot, as they have lost their past three league matches on the spin.

Sloppy defending has cost them dear, as has giving teams a way back into games, as illustrated against Brentford, where they crashed to a 3-2 defeat at home.

Howe has come in for a bit of criticism over his tactics, but replicating the highs of last term was always going to be a tall order. Pressing high against City and winning the second balls will be the keys to success.

Key Players to Watch

  • Bruno Guimarães
    A lynchpin in the Newcastle starting XI, Bruno Guimarães’ contribution can’t be understated. Indeed, nine league goals suggest City can’t afford him too much time or space on the ball.
  • Harvey Barnes
    A real livewire who loves to take on defenders and burst into the box, Harvey Barnes is electric, and he’s netted five times in the league this term. 
  • Jacob Murphy
    Despite seeing the goals dry up this term, Jacob Murphy gives Newcastle plenty of dynamism in attack, and he usually engineers plenty of chances in games.

Newcastle United Team News

Newcastle United have a few players out, including Anthony Gordon (hamstring) and Joelinton (groin), while Lewis Miley will be monitored ahead of the trip to the Etihad.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Manchester City (4-1-3-2)

    Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Guéhi, Aït-Nouri, Rodri, Semenyo, Silva, Cherki, Haaland; Marmoush

  2. Newcastle United (4-3-3)

    Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Tonali, Guimarães, Willock, Murphy, Wissa; Barnes

Suggested Bets

Premier League betting sites never miss a trick, so let’s divulge some more odds and football tips to mull over ahead of kick-off.

  1. Manchester City to Win: City have enjoyed some emphatic wins over Newcastle at the Etihad, and they have generally made life difficult for the visitors. A home win makes sense. (40/85 with Spreadex)

  2. Manchester City to Win to Nil: City have triumphed on the past three occasions at home to Newcastle without conceding, so this has legs to it. (19/10 with Unibet)

  3. Highest Scoring Half – Second Half: In the previous clash between City and Newcastle at St James’ Park, all the goals were netted in the second 45 minutes, so this line is worth pursuing. (1/1 with Midnite)

Value Bets

  1. Over 3.5 Goals: This clash has often provided a flurry of goals, so Over 3.5 goals at the Etihad doesn’t seem too fanciful. (21/20 with QuinnBet)

  2. Erling Haaland 2+ goals: Haaland has been on fire this season, netting 21 times, and while he hasn’t scored against Newcastle at the Etihad, that could change, and he could slot a double. (5/2 with BetMGM)

  3. Manchester City Over 8.5 Corners: City will look to pile on the pressure from set-pieces, and in the previous clash, they mustered nine corners, so Over 8.5 corners seems reasonable. (43/20 with Leovegas)

Prediction: Manchester City to Win to Nil

While City aren’t perhaps the team of a couple of seasons ago, they have plenty of pedigree and appetite for success. Newcastle have been poor on the road this term, and against Liverpool, they showed some promise before falling away.

Guardiola’s men need to keep on the coattails of Arsenal in the title race, and while they aren’t completely watertight, they could shut up shop. City to win and to prevail without conceding is certainly worth considering, given their recent record at the Etihad against the Magpies.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

Football Match Predictions