Football
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Preview: Odds, Tips, & Prediction
Date: Saturday, February 7 Venue: Vitality Stadium Kick-off: 3pm An upwardly mobile Bournemouth should be full of confidence when they square up against Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, February 7. After stunning Liverpool last month, the Cherries will likely carry favour with many of the top football betting sites ahead of their league meeting with Villa. While Bournemouth were hammered 4-0 by Villa in the corresponding fixture, Andoni Iraola’s men have picked up form at just the right time to alleviate any potential relegation fears. Villa, on the other hand, appear to be nailed on for a top-four finish, but they still retain an outside chance of lifting the title, so there is plenty for them to play for. We’re excited about this encounter, and we’ve backed up our picks with a raft of stats, so let’s get into it.
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Emiliano Buendia of Aston Villa celebrates / Getty Images
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Villa Shading It
Premier League betting sites have a handle on all odds, and here is how the matchwinner market is shaping up ahead of Bournemouth vs Aston Villa:
Home: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
Away: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
*Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record
Premier League head-to-head records are meaningful, and we’ve shared the recent tale of the tape between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, so you can get an idea of how things could unfold.
Last Five Meetings (Premier League)
09/11/25: Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth
10/05/25: Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa
26/10/24: Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth
21/04/24: Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
03/12/23: Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa
Bournemouth Current Form – LWDWW
To a certain extent, Bournemouth’s league position (12th) belies just what a good side they are on their day. While they appear unlikely at the moment to eclipse last season’s ninth-placed finish, the Cherries are gathering momentum.
The kamikaze 3-2 win over Liverpool showed just how devastating they can be on the counter, and that is without Antoine Semenyo, who left to join Manchester City in the January transfer window.
After a convincing 2-0 win over whipping boys Wolves, Bournemouth will relish getting stuck into and giving Villa a tough game.
Key Players to Watch
- Evanilson
A thorn in most Premier League sides, Evanilson is always lively in and around the area, and he’s had a mini purple patch, scoring three times in his past X outings. - Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi has come of age at Bournemouth, and while he’s only 22, he’s produced some mature displays. He’s popped up with some vital goals, and he’s also shown good tactical nous during games. - Amine Adli
Amine Adli completes the frontline, and he often pulls in a big shift. He took his goal well against Liverpool, and he should sniff out chances against Villa.
Bournemouth Team News
Bournemouth remain without Marcus Tavernier (hamstring) and David Brooks (ankle), and Iraola would like to have more bodies back to face Villa.
Aston Villa Current Form – WDLWL
For the past few months, Villa have kept themselves in touching distance of league leaders Arsenal, but it seemed a matter of time as to when things would go slightly pear-shaped.
A 4-1 defeat away to Arsenal wasn’t that shocking, but the 1-0 reverse away to Everton spelt some concern. Although Villa bounced back with a comfortable 2-0 win away to Newcastle, a 1-0 loss against Brentford, who played most of the match with 10 man, was also worrying.
With an array of attacking options, Villa can absorb pressure, and they can wreak havoc on Bournemouth.
Key Players to Watch
- Ollie Watkins
With pace to burn and a danger in the attacking third, Ollie Watkins has rattled home eight league goals this term, and he can exploit any weaknesses in the Bournemouth backline. - Morgan Rogers
A penchant for scoring spectacular goals, Morgan Rogers has pulled Villa out of many sticky situations this campaign, so Bournemouth can’t back off from him, or they will pay the price. - Emiliano Buendia
Emiliano Buendia is often energetic, and he’s made some invaluable contributions. The Argentine midfielder has scored five league goals this term, and he netted in the previous encounter with Bournemouth, so he could catch fire again.
Aston Villa Team News
John McGinn and Youri Tielemans (ankle) are both expected to be out for Villa, and it isn’t known when they will return to action.
Predicted Line-Ups
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert, Scott, Cook, Jiménez, Kroupi, Adli; Evanilson
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Martínez, Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen, Luiz, Bogarde, Sancho, Rogers, Buendia; Abraham
Suggested Bets
Premier League sportsbooks are brimming with odds, and we’ve divulged some football betting tips for you to mull over.
Over 2.5 Goals: Of the past five league meetings, three of these have seen the Over 2.5 goals line comfortably surpassed, so this is worth pursuing. (4/7 with Spreadex)
First Goal Scored – Aston Villa: In each of the past three encounters, Villa have started strongly and taken the lead, so Villa to nab the opening goal is worth capitalising on. (10/11 with Betway)
Aston Villa Double Chance: Villa are unbeaten in their past six league meetings with Bournemouth, and have won four of these matchups, so an away victory or a draw seems worthwhile. (4/9 with Midnite)
Value Bets
Draw: While only one of the past three games has finished in a draw, Bournemouth are gathering momentum, while there is plenty of pressure on Villa, so the honours to be shared is inviting. (5/2 with Fitzdares)
Villa to Win by 1 Goal: Bar the one-sided affair earlier this season where Villa romped to victory, the previous occasion at the Vitality saw the away side clinch the win by a solitary goal, so this has value. (13/4 with Unibet)
Anytime Goalscorer – Morgan Rogers: Although the goals have dried up a little in recent weeks, Morgan Rogers is Villa’s trump card, and he could notch up a goal across the 90 minutes. (11/5 with BetMGM)
Prediction: Aston Villa to Win
An intriguing encounter awaits on the South Coast, and while Bournemouth have started to turn things around, Villa are still in the title race as it stands, and they have made for compelling viewing.
Under Unai Emery, Villa have ground out results and fought their way back into games, and they have generally delivered. The tale of the tape is in Villa’s favour, and while Bournemouth will give them a good run for their money, Villa could prevail in a tight match.

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.
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