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Leeds United vs Arsenal Preview: Odds, Tips, and Prediction

Date: Saturday, January 31 Venue: Elland Road Kick-off: 3pm GMT Arsenal continue their dogged pursuit of the title by facing a familiar foe in Leeds United at Elland Road on Saturday, January 31. Trips to Yorkshire at the start of the 21st Century were often laced with pain, but the Gunners seem more robust as they seek to keep Manchester City and Aston Villa at arm’s length. Naturally, the best football betting sites will be abreast of all odds developments in the run-up to the match, and for games such as Leeds vs Arsenal, there will be a raft of markets to feast on.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-01-26

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Viktor Gyokeres of Arsenal converts a penalty to score his second goal

Viktor Gyokeres of Arsenal converts a penalty to score his second goal//Getty Images

Apart from a couple of minor slip-ups against Liverpool and Nottingham Forest in recent weeks, the Gunners have barely put a foot wrong. Although Leeds are keeping their heads above the water, they may well fear facing an Arsenal side that thrashed them 5-0 earlier in the campaign at the Emirates.

We’ve collated pre-match odds for this intriguing Premier League clash and we have divulged some stats, so you know what to look out for.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Arsenal Comfortable Favourites

Let’s begin proceedings by checking in one of the most reputable sports betting operators to see how the matchwinner prices are shaping up:

  1. Home: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

  2. Draw: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

  3. Away: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

    *Odds courtesy of Midnite, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Leafing through Premier League head-to-head records should be an essential part of your betting prep. This is how recent matches between Leeds and Arsenal have unfolded:

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 23/08/25: Arsenal 5-0 Leeds United

  2. 01/04/23: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds United

  3. 16/10/22: Leeds United 0-1 Arsenal

  4. 08/05/22: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United

  5. 18/12/21: Leeds United 1-4 Arsenal

Leeds United Current Form: DDDLW

The festive period is always a busy time for Premier League teams, but Leeds are looking like they are on course for survival. Currently, five points above the drop zone, Daniel Farke’s men would like to get a bit closer to the magical 40-point mark, which is often perceived as the target for safety.

Apart from a 4-3 defeat away to Newcastle earlier this month, Leeds have been more compact, and they have picked up some decent results, including draws against Liverpool and Manchester United.

Much of their recent success can be attributed to Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s form, but Leeds will need to produce a low block and hit on the counter if they are going to upset the Gunners.

Key Players to Watch

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin: A previously maligned figure at Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has rejuvenated his career at Leeds, and he’s been in terrific form. He recently scored in six games on the trot, and he was also on target against Leeds. His strength in the air will give Arsenal something to think about.
  • Lukas Nmecha: Although he’s been reduced to cameo roles springing off the bench, Lukas Nmecha has often made an immediate impact. His winner against Fulham could persuade Farke to start Nmecha against Arsenal.
  • Ethan Ampadu: A near ever-present feature of the Leeds starting XI, Ethan Ampadu’s pass completion rate is excellent (86%), but he’s not afraid to put his body on the line, and he may need to put in some last-ditch blocks against the Gunners.

Leeds United Team News

Leeds have a near full-strength side for the visit of Arsenal. Anton Stach is struggling with a muscle injury, while Daniel James and Jaka Bijol (both hamstring) remain sidelined.

Arsenal Current Form – WWDDL

Following the drab goalless draws against Liverpool and Nottingham Forest, where they lacked a cutting edge, the Gunners suffered a rare loss when they lost 3-2 at home to Manchester United last weekend.

Arteta’s side have shared out the goals this season, and while there have been injuries to key players, they remain focused on the task at hand.

Although Leeds have been easy fodder for Arsenal in the past, they have to take things one game at a time.

Key Players to Watch

  • Declan Rice: Declan Rice has elevated his game to new heights, and he takes games by the scruff of the neck. The midfielder has had seven goal involvements this term (four goals and three assists), and Leeds need to snuff him out.
  • Martin Zubimendi: Arguably one of the signings of the season, Martin Zubimendi seems to glide through games. He never seems fazed, and he’s chipped in with three goals this term, so his value can’t be overstated.
  • Bukayo Saka: Although he hasn’t been as influential in terms of goals and assists this campaign, Bukayo Saka dazzles with his quick feet, and he stretches backlines, so Leeds need to be careful.

Arsenal Team News

Arsenal remain without left-back Riccardo Calafiori (muscle), and it is unknown as to whether he will be fit in time to face Leeds.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Leeds United (3-5-2): Darlow; Justin, Rodon, Struijk, Bogle, Aaronson, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmondsson, Calvert-Lewin, Nmecha

  2. Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie, Odegaard, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Gyokeres; Trossard 

Suggested Bets

Premier League bookmakers are well covered for odds, and these football betting tips may help you nail your picks.

  1. Over 2.5 Goals: Although the last couple of clashes have been one-sided, the Over 2.5 line has been comfortably surpassed, so we’ve gone for the same again. (17/20 with William Hill)

  2. First Goal – Arsenal: The Gunners are good frontrunners, and they’ve taken the lead against Leeds in each of the past five league meetings, so this seems worth investigating. (4/9 with Unibet)

  3. Highest Scoring Half (2nd Half): In each of the past two games, the second half has seen more goals scored than the first 45 minutes, so this is worth leaning into. (23/20 with Spreadex)

Value Bets

  1. Arsenal Total Goals Over 2.5: Arsenal have hit three or more goals against Leeds in three of their past five league showdowns, so there is merit in this line. (21/10 with Bzeebet)

  2. Anytime Assist – Declan Rice: Invariably, Rice is always precise with his deliveries, and he’ll fancy adding to his tally against Leeds. (3/1 with BetUK)

  3. Anytime Goalscorer – Martin Zubimendi: With three goals to his name this term, Zubimendi may get chances fall his way against Leeds, and he could find the target. (11/2 with LeoVegas)

Prediction: Arsenal to Win to Nil

Though Leeds look like good value to stay up, and can count on a decent home record this season, Arsenal is a different beast. Yes, there have been occasions recently where the Gunners haven’t been completely fluid, but they have dug out results.

Also, they’ve only conceded 17 goals this season, which shows they are tough to breach. Arsenal could turn on the style, and a victory with a clean sheet intact is a feasible prospect.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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