Football
Leeds United vs Liverpool Preview: Odds, Tips, and Prediction
Date: Saturday, December 6 Venue: Elland Road Kick-off: 5:30pm GMT Leeds United and Liverpool collide in a critical Premier League game at Elland Road on Saturday. SportsBoom has dissected the angles to give you the lowdown for the Leeds vs Liverpool preview. We have dived into the full slate of odds available at the most reputable football betting sites.
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Alexander Isak of Liverpool celebrates after scoring the team's first goal//Getty Images
Although this is a storied fixture, it is heavily tilted in Liverpool’s favour. The Reds, who have suffered an alarming loss of form this term, enjoyed an emphatic 6-1 drubbing of Leeds on their previous visit to Elland Road in 2023, and before that, they won 3-0 in Yorkshire.
Leeds, on the other hand, has had some tough fixtures to contend with, and the pre-Christmas schedule can be unrelenting. A win will be gratefully received.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability – Liverpool Heavily Backed
Premier League betting sites are packed with prices, and here’s how the pre-match odds are shaping up:
- Home: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Draw: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- Away: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record
Leafing through Premier League head-to-head records offers useful insights, so here’s the tale of the tape.
Last Five Meetings (Premier League)
17/04/23: Leeds 1-6 Liverpool
29/10/22: Liverpool 1-2 Leeds
23/02/22: Liverpool 6-0 Leeds
12/09/21: Leeds 0-3 Liverpool
19/04/21: Leeds 1-1 Liverpool
Leeds United Current Form – WLLLL
After making a bright start to the season, Leeds have crashed and burned over the past few weeks. Injuries have piled up, and the pressure is mounting on Daniel Farke, who has come under increased scrutiny with his side in the relegation zone.
Goals have been a problem as Leeds have netted just 13 times this term. However, there have been instances recently, such as the 2-1 defeat away to Aston Villa, illustrating Leeds are far from a lost cause, and they have had their moments at home.
In the midst of a tough run of fixtures that has included clashes with Chelsea and Manchester City, these games won’t define their season, but they need to start picking up points.
Key Players to Watch
- Lukas Nmecha: Although deployed as a lone striker against Manchester City, Lukas Nmecha never stopped running, and he showed intelligence. He slotted home from the rebound of his missed penalty, and he will be looking to score for the fourth straight league game.
- Ethan Ampadu: A commanding presence in midfield, Ethan Ampadu has grown in confidence with each game. The only concern is that he’s one game away from a suspension, so he is walking a tightrope.
- Brenden Aaronson: Despite being brought on late from the bench against City, Brenden Aaronson is a workhorse, and he’s not afraid to have a pop at goal, hitting the woodwork twice this term.
Leeds United Team News
Sean Longstaff will be a blow, and he’s currently nursing a calf injury, which has ruled him out of action for a month. Meanwhile, Daniel James suffered a hamstring setback against City, which could sideline him for a while.
Liverpool Current Form – LWLLW
Following a dismal sequence of nine defeats in 12 games in all competitions, Liverpool looked more fluid against West Ham, claiming a 2-0 victory.
It was a momentous day for Alexander Isak as he struck his first Premier League goal for the Reds, while Mohamed Salah was relegated to the bench for the first time in England’s top flight since April 2024.
Arne Slot was faced with sticking or twisting, as his side has lacked balance. Although Liverpool’s confidence at times has reached a low ebb, perhaps the win over West Ham could mark a new turning point.
Key Players to Watch
- Dominik Szoboszlai: Although he has been played out of position by Slot at right-back, Dominik Szoboszlai gives Liverpool a strong base, and he’s comfortable on the ball. He also has a ferocious shot, and he’s blessed with fabulous technique.
- Cody Gakpo: On the scoresheet against the Hammers, Cody Gakpo is quite lively, and he can unpick defences. He netted in the 6-1 thrashing of Leeds last term, and he will fancy getting on the scoresheet again.
- Florian Wirtz: There may have been a wave of sub-par displays this term, but Florian Wirtz was more authoritative against West Ham. He may be searching for his first assist and goal with Liverpool, but the win will have done his confidence the world of good.
Liverpool Team News
Liverpool has a shortage of natural right-backs with Conor Bradley and Jeremie Frimpong. Slot rang the changes against West Ham, and he could rotate his side again with the fixtures arriving thick and fast.
Predicted Line-Ups
Leeds (4-3-3): Perri; Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Justin, Tanaka, Ampadu, Gruev, James, Nmecha; Gnonto
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Becker; Gomez, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Gakpo, Isak
Suggested Bets
Premier League sportsbooks will be well covered for pre-match odds, and we’ve plucked out some football betting tips for you to consider.
Over 2.5 Goals: Although meetings have been one-sided lately, Leeds and Liverpool have fulfilled the Over 2.5 goals line in the past four clashes. This seems like one of the more sensible football betting strategies around to follow. (29/50 with Bzeebet)
Leeds or Draw 1st Half Double Chance: In two of Leeds’ past three league games, they have got off to quick starts, taking the lead in the first 15 minutes. The Double Chance line after the first 45 minutes sticks out (11/20 with Unibet)
Goal in Both Halves: Only once in their eight competitive meetings has a goal not been scored in both halves, and given that both sides have defensive deficiencies, this is enticing. (12/25 with BetMGM)
Value Bets
Anytime Goalscorer – Cody Gakpo: The Dutchman is a menace, and he could give Leeds a headache. With nine goals for club and country this term, he could take his tally to double figures. (12/5 with Copybet)
Goalkeeper Saves Over 7.5: It could be an action-packed evening for both sets of goalkeepers. Leeds may be lacking goals, but like Liverpool, they will test the keeper, so over 7.5 saves is worth exploring further. (31/20 with Leovegas)
First Team to Score – Leeds: Holding onto Leeds or making deeper inroads has been a problem for Leeds, but they could give Liverpool some thinking by breaking the deadlock (31/20 with 10bet)
Prediction: Total Goals – Over 2.5
While Liverpool has done well on previous trips to Leeds, counting on the Reds to deliver the goods isn’t guaranteed. Both sides have their fair share of problems, but this could be a fascinating encounter, and one that may well be a goalfest. In the past couple of clashes, there have been 10 goals shared. With both sides flawed at the back, the Over 2.5 goals line could well be met.
Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.
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