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Liverpool vs Burnley Preview: Odds, Tips, & Prediction

Date: Saturday, January 17 Venue: Anfield Kick-off: 3:00pm GMT A resurgent Liverpool will host relegation-threatened Burnley at Anfield on Saturday, January 17, in a game that has significant implications for both sides. Burnley are in a precarious situation, and although they scraped a draw against Manchester United, it followed back-to-back defeats against Brighton and Newcastle. Liverpool, on the other hand, saw their title hopes shattered earlier in the campaign, but they are beginning to turn things around. After claiming a creditable point away to table toppers Arsenal, they will want to consolidate their grip on fourth spot. Although this game might seem a mismatch on paper, the Premier League has thrown up some shock results this term. All the top football betting sites will carry enticing odds and lines ahead of games, and SportsBoom will keep you abreast of everything.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2026-01-12

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Gabriel Martinelli of Arsenal reacts as Conor Bradley

Gabriel Martinelli and Conor Bradley / Getty Images

We’ve provided Premier League betting insights for this game and shared some wagering strategies to take advantage of. 

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Liverpool Huge Favourites

Before this game, we’ve visited one of the finest betting sites to see how things are shaping up odds-wise:

  1. Home: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%

  2. Draw: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

  3. Away: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
    *Odds courtesy of William Hill, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Going through head-to-head Premier League records is worthwhile, and we’ve explored past meetings between Liverpool and Burnley.

Last Five Meetings (Premier League)

  1. 1

    14/09/25: Burnley 0-1 Liverpool

  2. 2

    10/02/24: Liverpool 3-1 Burnley

  3. 3

    26/12/23: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool

  4. 4

    13/02/22: Burnley 0-1 Liverpool

  5. 5

    21/08/21: Liverpool 2-0 Burnley

Liverpool Current Form: WWDDD

After a demoralising couple of months towards the back end of 2025, Liverpool have steadied things, and they have started to string some results together.

There have been some ugly episodes, such as the explosive interview that Mohammed Salah gave to reporters, but Arne Slot, who has come under mounting pressure, has brought a sense of calm.

While there have been signs of defensive frailty, as underlined in the 2-2 draw away to Fulham, the point they picked up away to Arsenal showed a sense of maturity. Hugo Ekitike, for example, has been a rare bright spot.

Over the past few seasons, Liverpool have handled Burnley with minimal fuss, and they will be targeting a win on Merseyside once again.

Key Players to Watch

  • Alisson
    Although it is unusual to include goalkeepers, Alisson has proved to be one of the best shot-stoppers in the Premier League over the past few seasons, saving Liverpool lots of points. His quick reflexes will come in handy against the Clarets.
  • Cody Gakpo
    A menace at times, Cody Gakpo stretches defences. Apart from eight goal involvements in the league this term (five goals and three assists), the Dutchman has an xG (expected goals) rate of 4.72, which is extraordinary.
  • Dominik Szoboszlai
    Moved into a more central midfield position, Dominik Szoboszlai relishes taking the initiative in games. Despite only providing one assist in the league this season, he could be given freedom to lay on plenty of scoring chances.

Liverpool Team News

Liverpool could be without Ekitike, who was absent from the matchday squad against Fulham and Arsenal, while Conor Bradley could be out for some time after picking up a knee injury against Arsenal, and he was stretchered off the pitch.

Burnley Current Form – DDLLD

Burnley have been in a downward spiral since the end of October, and Scott Parker is doing everything he can to keep them afloat.

Just three points from their past five league games underlines the predicament they are in, and Burnley, who are 18th in the table, are eight points adrift of safety.

With some tough fixtures against Sunderland and Tottenham coming up, Burnley need to grind out a positive result at Anfield.

Key Players to Watch

  • Kyle Walker
    Despite being in the autumn of his career, Kyle Walker still has pace, and his marauding runs could give Liverpool some problems. However, he needs to be less rash with his challenges, judging by his seven cautions this term.
  • Jaidon Anthony
    Jaidon Anthony was lively against Manchester United, and he took his goal extremely well. He’s netted five times this term in the league, and Liverpool can’t switch off for a moment if the midfielder is in possession.
  • Lesley Ugochukwu
    A strong, powerful midfielder, Lesley Ugochukwu gives Burnley more fluidity during attacking transitions, and he has chipped in with three goals this term, so he has an eye for goal.

Burnley Team News

Jordan Beyer has picked up a hamstring injury after recovering from a knee problem, so he is unlikely to be available, while Zian Flemming is a doubt after missing Burnley’s last three games with a knock.

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Liverpool (4-2-3-1)

    Alisson; Gomez, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Frimpong, Szoboszlai, Gakpo, Wirtz

  2. Burnley (3-4-2-1)

    Dubravka; Laurent, Esteve, Humphreys, Walker, Ugochukwu, Florentino, Anthony, Edwards, Mejbri, Broja

Suggested Bets

Premier League sportsbooks are well stocked with pre-match odds, and we’ve outlined a few suggested football betting tips to tap into.

  1. First Team to Score – Liverpool: The Reds have taken the lead in each of the past six league encounters with Burnley, and they are usually good frontrunners. This line is worth exploiting. (1/4 with Midnite)

  2. Both Teams to Score – No: Burnley have only scored once in their past five league matches with Liverpool, so that doesn’t bode well. It may be the case that both teams don’t score. (17/25 with Bzeebet)

  3. Liverpool to be Ahead at Half-Time: Apart from last season when Liverpool needed a stoppage-time penalty from Salah to grab three points, Slot’s troops have often eked out a lead at the interval, so this line resonates. (4/7 with Betfred)

Value Bets

  1. Liverpool to Win by 2 Goals: Liverpool have prevailed by at least two goals in two of the past three league clashes with Burnley, so this carries some value. (27/10 with Kwiff)

  2. Over 13.5 Corners: In the corresponding fixture earlier this season, the Over 13.5 corners line was hit, and it could be fulfilled once again. (19/10 with Betway)

  3. First Goalscorer – Cody Gakpo: Gakpo invariably makes an impact, and while he’s not netted before against Burnley in the league, he could break the deadlock. (17/4 with Leovegas)

Prediction: Liverpool to Win to Nil

Burnley appear to be in quicksand, and they are currently losing their race to salvage their top-flight status. Although they produced a dogged performance against United to pick up a point, Liverpool is a different beast.

Slot’s side have appeared to be more fluent lately, and as the recent record shows, Burnley have struggled to score, let alone beat Liverpool. This could be a one-sided game, and one where Liverpool wins without conceding.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Betting Writer

Charles Perrin has spent over six years writing about sports betting, working with some of the UK’s top sportsbooks, including bet365 and William Hill.

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