Darts
Premier League Darts: Luke Humphries vs Chris Dobey Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Thursday, 17th April 2025 Start time: 7:15 pm local time Venue: OO Arena, Manchester Last meeting: March 27, 2025, Premier League Night 8, Luke Humphries 6-3 Chris Dobey
Luke Humphries takes on Chris Dobey as both players meet on Thursday for Night 10 of the 2025 Premier League. This matchup will no doubt be an exciting battle, as both players have delivered many exciting games in the past. In a battle between second and seventh, this match will be seen as a must-win for Chris Dobey.
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2025 BetMGM Premier League Darts - Manchester/Getty Images
Please continue reading SportsBoom’s thoroughly detailed darts preview for this particular matchup. In this preview, we extensively focus on sharing our valued bets and predictions but also share all the facts surrounding recent head-to-head records.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
- Luke Humphries: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
- Luke Humphries: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
- Chris Dobey: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
- Forecast odds – Betting available on Betway closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
From the last five games, in particular, Luke Humphries is in strong form against Chris Dobey. He has won four of their last five meetings and boasts a 100% winning record over the Newcastle-born star this year.
He has racked up three wins on Night 1, Night 2 and Night 8 this campaign, which has made all the difference in the point-scoring positions due to two wins arriving at the first hurdle.
Dobey’s one win arrived at a floor tournament last year, but due to the lack of wins recently doesn’t mean he should be discounted by any means.
Last Five Matches
| Tournament | Stage | Score line |
| 2025 Premier League Night 8 | Quarterfinals | Luke Humphries 6-3 Chris Dobey |
| 2025 Premier League Night 2 | Quarterfinals | Luke Humphries 6-4 Chris Dobey |
| 2025 Premier League Night 1 | Final | Luke Humphries 6-1 Chris Dobey |
| 2024 Players Championship 15 | Quarterfinals | Chris Dobey 6-4 Luke Humphries |
| 2024 Players Championship 8 | Quarterfinals | Luke Humphries 6-5 Chris Dobey |
Player Career Timeline
Luke Humphries
Current Ranking: 1
Premier League best result: Runners-up (2024)
The world number one, Luke Humphries, closed the gap to table topper Luke Littler, reducing the point deficit to five after Week 10. Realistically, given Littler’s superiority, it could be difficult for Humphries to overcome unless he picks up back-to-back nightly wins.
Away from the stage on Thursday nights, Humphries is in impressive recent form, winning two TV titles in recent times and earning good cash outs in the floor tournaments, further showcasing that he earns his status as the best in the world.
Despite an impressive run of consistency, Humphries has yet to win a Premier League night since Week 4 in Exeter. He loves this venue due to his past success and history, but this drought he will want to put an end to this week.
2025 Premier League results:
Night 1 (Belfast) – Winner
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Final
Night 3 (Dublin) – Semi-Final
Night 4 (Exeter) – Winner
Night 5 (Brighton) – Quarter-Final
Night 6 (Nottingham) Quarter-Final
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Quarter-Final
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Finalist
Night 9 (Berlin) – Semi-Final
Night 10 (Manchester) – Finalist
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs:
2025 UK Open – Quarterfinalist
2025 Winmau World Masters – Winner
2025 World Darts Championship – 4th Round
2024 Players Championship Finals – Winner
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs:
2025 European Darts Trophy – Quarter-Final
2025 Players Championship 6 – Final
2025 Players Championship 5 – Last 32
2025 Players Championship 1 – Winner
2024 Czech Open – Winner
Chris Dobey
Current Ranking: 9
Premier League best result: 7th (2023)
2025 Premier League results:
Night 1 (Belfast) – Runners-Up
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarterfinalist
Night 3 (Dublin) – Quarterfinalist
Night 4 (Exeter) – Quarterfinalist
Night 5 (Brighton) – Quarterfinalist
Night 6 (Nottingham) – Quarterfinalist
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Semi-finalist
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Quarterfinalist
Night 9 (Berlin) – Semi-finalist
Night 10 (Manchester) – Quarterfinalist
Chris Dobey needs to pick up points fast to bolster his playoff chances. With only seven points earned in ten weeks, he is one of only two players to hold single-point figures after this stage of the season.
There is no doubt that Dobey can compete with the best in the world on a weekly basis, but he has yet to reach the final since the opening Night two months ago. His steady form means that at any stage, he could produce the goods where he snaps into gear and pulls off an impressive burst in form.
Last 5 TV Tournament runs:
2025 UK Open – 5th Round
2025 Winmau World Masters – 1st Round
2025 World Darts Championship – Semi-Final
2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Did Not Qualify
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament runs:
2025 Players Championship 10 – Last 32
2025 Players Championship 9 – Last 64
2025 European Darts Trophy – Last 32
2025 Players Championship 6 – Last 64
2025 Players Championship 5 – Last 64
Value Bets
Luke Humphries – Highest Checkout
Luke Humphries earned the highest checkout of the night last week in Manchester, leaving us to expect he can complete this in back-to-back weeks. Humphries always has a big checkout in his locker at the most crucial moments.
Luke Humphries – Highest 180s
Both players are notoriously calm and composed on the big stage, and we should see plenty of high scores, but we choose Humphries to post the most maximums in this one.
Total 180s: Over 5.5
As stated above, both players love their high scoring; therefore, in this best-of-11 contest, we will see over 5.5 180s thrown. This format always provides an incredible standard of play, leaving us to predict this value bet.
Prediction: Luke Humphries to Win
The worrying lack of wins in this year's competition against Luke Humphries sets Chris Dobey back, which leaves us to predict that Humphries will end this match as the eventual winner. The world number one will have the edge in this one.
A dedicated sports lover with a wealth of experience in the sports betting world, Marc Strydom has mostly worked as an Editor-in-chief of a sports betting newspaper in South Africa. Marc’s enthusiasm covers many sports, though he is most passionate about football and the NBA. He has covered a wide range of topics on multiple respected platforms.